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membership."}],"magnitudePolicySensitivity":{"nativeCount":6844,"mlOnlyCount":6400,"excludedByMlOnly":444,"scales":{"ML":6400,"Mw":343,"Md":37,"MW":64}},"references":["https://doi.org/10.1785/0119990114","https://doi.org/10.5078/corssa-00180805","https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JB022379"],"limitations":["GOF measures compatibility with a Gutenberg–Richter curve, not event-detection probability.","Small samples are unknown, never passing. Modal correction +0.2 is a heuristic.","Mixed magnitude scales and location errors remain. ML-only filtering changes the target and cannot be silently substituted.","Historical screens use only completed prior years, but a later-revised catalog; reporting times cannot be recovered.","A failed local/sequence screen is insufficient evidence for a local M2 forecast; no local forecast is published.","A passing regional screen cannot demonstrate complete detection during high-rate sequences.","No ETASI/PETAI inference without identifiability/detection recovery; no fabricated network information."],"disclosure":{"schema":1,"scope":"regional M2+ earthquake count","status":"experimental","calibrationStatus":"not-validated","interval":"Conditional simulated 5th–95th count percentiles; not comprehensive uncertainty","excludes":["next-earthquake time/location/magnitude","early warning","M7 probability","foreshock probability","building safety","specific-fault rupture"],"warning":{"tr":"Bu hesap bir sonraki depremin yerini, zamanını veya büyüklüğünü söylemez. Erken uyarı vermez. Büyük deprem olasılığını, bir depremin öncü olup olmadığını veya binanızın güvenliğini göstermez.","en":"This calculation cannot tell you the location, time or magnitude of the next earthquake. It is not an early warning. It does not estimate a major-earthquake or foreshock probability, building safety or which fault will rupture."}},"calibrationStatus":"not-validated"}